La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-12 · 18:00
11.7852.7%
X3.7824.8%
24.1722.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Celta
LWWWLWLLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Levante
LLWLLLDLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.30
Against
6.70
7.20
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Celta attack
1.90goals per matchLevante conceded2.00Matchup
Levante attack
0.70goals per matchCelta conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.70
7.20
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.10
Match total
25.10
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.10
17%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches250
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%50.0%-2.7 pp
Draw24.8%25.2%+0.4 pp
Away22.5%24.8%+2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS57.2%
Historical average
1.74–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
3-18.4%
1-07.6%
1-27.6%
3-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–4.50
Average total10.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=250.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.550.4%
Over 11.537.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%29.7%–51.8% CI
Draw FT43.1%32.3%–54.6% CI
Away FT16.7%9.8%–26.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.5%
Away45.8%