La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-23 · 18:00
12.4937.5%
X3.1929.3%
22.8133.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Levante
DDWDLLWDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sevilla
LLDLDLWDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
2.20
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.70
Against
4.80
9.00
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Levante attack
1.30goals per matchSevilla conceded2.20Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.00goals per matchLevante conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.80
9.00
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.40
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.60
Match total
24.70
Shots
16.00N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier B
Comparable matches1,525
Method1X2 + O/U
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%37.0%-0.5 pp
Draw29.3%31.3%+2.0 pp
Away33.2%31.7%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.521.9%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.23–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
1-010.6%
0-19.7%
0-09.0%
2-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.55
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,524.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches507
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.6%25.8%–33.7% CI
Draw FT44.0%39.7%–48.3% CI
Away FT26.4%22.8%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.9%
Away48.1%