La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 17:30
11.4764.8%
X4.3921.7%
27.0713.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WWWDDLDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Levante
LLDDLDLDWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.10
Against
6.10
9.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

2.20goals per match
Levante conceded1.20
Matchup

Levante attack

1.00goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.10
9.30
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.50
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.60
On target
2.90
19%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%65.8%+1.0 pp
Draw21.7%23.7%+2.0 pp
Away13.5%10.5%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS39.5%

Historical average

1.890.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.1%
1-110.5%
2-110.5%
2-010.5%
3-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.263.68
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away21.4%