La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 17:30
11.4764.8%
X4.3921.7%
27.0713.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad
WWWDDLDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Levante
LLDDLDLDWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.10
Against
6.10
9.30
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad attack
2.20goals per matchLevante conceded1.20Matchup
Levante attack
1.00goals per matchSociedad conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.10
9.30
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.50
Match total
24.90
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.60
On target
2.90
19%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%65.8%+1.0 pp
Draw21.7%23.7%+2.0 pp
Away13.5%10.5%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS39.5%
Historical average
1.89–0.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-021.1%
1-110.5%
2-110.5%
2-010.5%
3-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.26–3.68
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.536.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away21.4%