La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-17 · 18:00
14.6920.3%
X3.4127.9%
21.8451.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Levante
DDDWWWWDDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
DWWWLWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
3.90
8.70
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Levante attack
1.80goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.80goals per matchLevante conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.90
8.70
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.30
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
26.10
Match total
27.30
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.3%18.2%-2.1 pp
Draw27.9%45.5%+17.5 pp
Away51.8%36.4%-15.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.00–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-018.2%
1-118.2%
0-218.2%
3-19.1%
2-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.00–4.91
Average total8.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.527.3%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Away FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals4.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.8%
Away50.0%