La Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-16 · 20:00
11.6159.1%
X4.2322.5%
25.1618.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DDDWWLWDDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Levante
WLLLLLDWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
9.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.60goals per match
Levante conceded1.60
Matchup

Levante attack

0.90goals per match
Celta conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
9.00
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.30
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
29.10
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%57.9%-1.2 pp
Draw22.5%18.4%-4.1 pp
Away18.4%23.7%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS39.5%

Historical average

1.660.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.2%
1-113.2%
3-013.2%
2-110.5%
1-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.034.05
Average total11.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.2%
Over 9.568.4%
Over 10.560.5%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away50.0%