La Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 18:30
15.8416.4%
X3.6526.2%
21.6757.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Levante
LWWLWLWWDD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
DDDWLLDDDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.90
Against
5.70
9.40
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Levante attack
1.50goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.00Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.30goals per matchLevante conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.70
9.40
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.80
Match total
27.20
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.4%14.3%-2.1 pp
Draw26.2%21.4%-4.8 pp
Away57.4%64.3%+6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.86–1.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-128.6%
1-221.4%
1-114.3%
2-07.1%
3-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.93–4.86
Average total8.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.528.6%
Over 10.514.3%
Over 11.514.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Remaining goals
0.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home8.3%
Away66.7%