La Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 20:00
11.1483.7%
X9.1410.4%
216.425.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Levante
LLWLWLLWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

3.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.50
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
7.50
9.30
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
4.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

3.50goals per match
Levante conceded2.00
Matchup

Levante attack

1.10goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.50
9.30
Match total
11.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
7.40
On target
3.20
24%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.7%90.0%+6.3 pp
Draw10.4%0.0%-10.4 pp
Away5.8%10.0%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS30.0%

Historical average

3.700.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-020.0%
2-020.0%
6-210.0%
6-110.0%
0-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

9.503.20
Average total12.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.590.0%
Over 9.590.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away45.5%