Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 14:00
14.6919.5%
X3.6125.4%
21.6655.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mantova
LDLWWDWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Monza
WLWDWWLDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.00
9.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mantova attack

1.40goals per match
Monza conceded0.90
Matchup

Monza attack

1.40goals per match
Mantova conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.00
9.70
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
33.00
Match total
27.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches315
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.5%18.4%-1.1 pp
Draw25.4%22.5%-2.8 pp
Away55.1%59.0%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

0.911.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.6%
0-210.8%
1-110.5%
1-28.9%
1-37.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.965.66
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=315.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.1%14.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT32.6%24.0%–42.6% CI
Away FT45.3%35.6%–55.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals16.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.1%
Away62.1%