Serie B · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 14:00
14.6919.5%
X3.6125.4%
21.6655.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mantova
LDLWWDWWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Monza
WLWDWWLDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
4.00
9.70
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mantova attack
1.40goals per matchMonza conceded0.90Matchup
Monza attack
1.40goals per matchMantova conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.00
9.70
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
33.00
Match total
27.80
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches315
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.5%18.4%-1.1 pp
Draw25.4%22.5%-2.8 pp
Away55.1%59.0%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
0.91–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.6%
0-210.8%
1-110.5%
1-28.9%
1-37.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.96–5.66
Average total9.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=315.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.1%14.9%–31.4% CI
Draw FT32.6%24.0%–42.6% CI
Away FT45.3%35.6%–55.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.1%
Away62.1%