Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 14:00
12.1942.1%
X3.1629.2%
23.2028.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mantova
LLDLWWDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Avellino
WLDLLDLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.20
Against
5.60
9.80
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mantova attack
1.40goals per matchAvellino conceded1.50Matchup
Avellino attack
0.70goals per matchMantova conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.60
9.80
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.90
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
33.00
Match total
31.00
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
6.10N=10
4.40
On target
1.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,552
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%43.7%+1.6 pp
Draw29.2%30.0%+0.8 pp
Away28.8%26.4%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.42–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-012.1%
2-110.6%
0-08.5%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–4.47
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,552.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches492
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.4%32.3%–40.7% CI
Draw FT39.8%35.6%–44.2% CI
Away FT23.8%20.2%–27.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away41.7%