Serie B · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 16:15
12.2540.9%
X3.1729.0%
23.0630.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
DWLWWDLLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mantova
LLDWDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.60
Against
5.70
11.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.10goals per matchMantova conceded1.80Matchup
Mantova attack
1.00goals per matchSpezia conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.70
11.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.10
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
30.90
Match total
33.00
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%42.4%+1.5 pp
Draw29.0%29.3%+0.3 pp
Away30.1%28.3%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.43–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-010.7%
2-110.2%
0-18.8%
2-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.26–4.61
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,387.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches420
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.8%29.5%–38.5% CI
Draw FT39.3%34.7%–44.0% CI
Away FT26.9%22.9%–31.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals12.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away46.4%