Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-17 · 19:00
12.3139.8%
X3.2728.1%
22.8732.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mantova
WWLLDLWWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Cesena
WLLDLWLLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mantova attack

1.50goals per match
Cesena conceded1.30
Matchup

Cesena attack

0.70goals per match
Mantova conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
6.00
Match total
3.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
31.60
Match total
23.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches700
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%41.9%+2.0 pp
Draw28.1%27.9%-0.3 pp
Away32.1%30.3%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.461.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-19.3%
1-09.1%
0-17.9%
2-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.73
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=700.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches217
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.3%26.4%–38.7% CI
Draw FT40.6%34.2%–47.2% CI
Away FT27.2%21.7%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away51.2%