Serie B · 2025/26
2026-03-04 · 19:00
11.5260.3%
X3.9923.0%
25.4816.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Palermo
DLWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Mantova
DLWLLDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.30
Against
6.00
9.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Palermo attack

2.30goals per match
Mantova conceded1.30
Matchup

Mantova attack

0.70goals per match
Palermo conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.00
9.90
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
27.30
Match total
32.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.90
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches467
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%62.1%+1.8 pp
Draw23.0%24.2%+1.2 pp
Away16.7%13.7%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

2.000.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
2-012.2%
1-010.5%
2-110.1%
3-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.68
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=467.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches117
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.6%40.7%–58.5% CI
Draw FT37.6%29.4%–46.6% CI
Away FT12.8%7.9%–20.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.2%
2+ goals47.9%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.1%
Away43.6%