Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 19:30
12.1543.6%
X3.0131.2%
23.7225.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mantova
LWLDLLDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Carrarese
LDDLLLDDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.70
Against
4.70
7.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mantova attack

1.50goals per match
Carrarese conceded1.60
Matchup

Carrarese attack

0.80goals per match
Mantova conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.70
7.80
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.60
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
37.00
Match total
25.40

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.20
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%30.8%-12.9 pp
Draw31.2%46.2%+15.0 pp
Away25.2%23.1%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS69.2%

Historical average

1.541.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-223.1%
3-115.4%
0-015.4%
1-215.4%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.083.85
Average total8.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.523.1%
Over 10.515.4%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away31.3%