Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00
12.3040.6%
X2.8532.8%
23.5226.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
LDLWWDWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Mantova
DDDWLDLLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
100%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.90
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
4.40
9.10
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
100%10/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.30goals per match
Mantova conceded2.10
Matchup

Mantova attack

1.60goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.40
9.10
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
30.10
Match total
32.20

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.80
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%39.4%-1.2 pp
Draw32.8%18.2%-14.6 pp
Away26.6%42.4%+15.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.241.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
1-212.1%
0-112.1%
0-29.1%
3-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.12
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away45.5%