Serie B · 2024/25
2025-05-01 · 14:00
12.4737.9%
X3.2428.9%
22.8133.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mantova
DLWLDLLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Cesena
LLLLWLWWDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.70
Against
3.10
8.00
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mantova attack

1.20goals per match
Cesena conceded1.50
Matchup

Cesena attack

1.10goals per match
Mantova conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.10
8.00
Match total
7.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
37.10
Match total
29.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches669
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%35.9%-2.0 pp
Draw28.9%28.1%-0.8 pp
Away33.3%36.0%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.301.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-010.3%
1-210.3%
0-19.7%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.57
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=669.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches220
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.4%25.6%–37.8% CI
Draw FT36.4%30.3%–42.9% CI
Away FT32.3%26.4%–38.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away56.4%