Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 14:30
13.3028.2%
X3.9723.5%
21.9348.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
LDLDLWLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Dortmund
WDDWWDWWLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
2.10
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Against
5.40
8.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
2.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.10goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.40
8.20
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.40
Match total
23.40

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%15.8%-12.5 pp
Draw23.5%31.6%+8.1 pp
Away48.3%52.6%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS73.7%

Historical average

1.161.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.1%
1-115.8%
0-115.8%
2-210.5%
1-310.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.474.47
Average total8.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.510.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away58.3%