Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 14:30
13.3028.2%
X3.9723.5%
21.9348.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Werder Bremen
LDLDLWLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Dortmund
WDDWWDWWLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.80
2.10
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Against
5.40
8.20
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
2.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.10goals per matchDortmund conceded1.20Matchup
Dortmund attack
1.80goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.40
8.20
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.40
Match total
23.40
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%15.8%-12.5 pp
Draw23.5%31.6%+8.1 pp
Away48.3%52.6%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS73.7%
Historical average
1.16–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-221.1%
1-115.8%
0-115.8%
2-210.5%
1-310.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.47–4.47
Average total8.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.6%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.510.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away58.3%