Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 14:30
14.1022.8%
X4.4021.2%
21.6756.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
DLWLDWWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Hoffenheim
LDWWLDWLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.20
0.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.10
Against
4.70
5.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.30goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.00
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.60goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.70
5.80
Match total
9.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
20.60
Match total
22.10

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.8%12.5%-10.3 pp
Draw21.2%18.8%-2.5 pp
Away56.0%68.8%+12.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.002.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.8%
2-312.5%
1-112.5%
0-112.5%
3-56.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.945.69
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away72.7%