Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 14:30
11.2574.6%
X6.2914.8%
28.8310.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
LWLWWDDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Hamburg
LLDWDWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.90
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.60
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.20goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.90
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.20goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
6.60
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.6%70.0%-4.6 pp
Draw14.8%20.0%+5.2 pp
Away10.6%10.0%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.480.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-110.0%
2-010.0%
1-010.0%
4-17.5%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.303.45
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.5%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.557.5%
Over 11.545.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away20.0%