Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 14:30
12.6535.1%
X3.8824.0%
22.2840.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DWWWWDLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
RB Leipzig
DLWDWWLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
8.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.60goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.30
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.50goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
8.20
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.40
Match total
18.70

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.20
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%25.0%-10.1 pp
Draw24.0%50.0%+26.0 pp
Away40.8%25.0%-15.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS91.7%

Historical average

1.751.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-125.0%
1-316.7%
2-216.7%
2-18.3%
3-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.75
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.2%
2+ goals85.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away85.7%