Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 14:30
11.1482.0%
X8.7110.7%
212.847.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WDWLWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
FC Koln
DLDLLLDDDD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
3.70
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.80
100%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.50
1H goals
1.10
2.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.20
Against
4.90
11.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
5.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.70goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.80Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.10goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.20
Corners against
4.90
11.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.50
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.30N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
14.90
Match total
17.00
Shots
22.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
9.00
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.0%72.7%-9.3 pp
Draw10.7%18.2%+7.5 pp
Away7.3%9.1%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.563.6%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
3.45–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.2%
4-018.2%
8-19.1%
2-09.1%
1-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
9.55–2.55
Average total12.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.572.7%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.554.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT77.8%61.9%–88.3% CI
Draw FT19.4%9.8%–35.0% CI
Away FT2.8%0.5%–14.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals63.9%
3+ goals36.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home88.9%
Away25.0%