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Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 18:30

Mainz

vs

Union Berlin

11.7453.6%
X3.8124.5%
24.2422.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LDWWWDDWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Union Berlin
WDDLLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.50goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.90
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

0.90goals per match
Mainz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
20.40
Match total
21.60

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches503
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%62.0%+8.5 pp
Draw24.5%21.5%-3.0 pp
Away22.0%16.5%-5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.96–0.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.9%
1-110.5%
2-010.5%
1-09.7%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.06–4.15
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=503.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.8%42.3%–59.2% CI
Draw FT33.8%26.3%–42.3% CI
Away FT15.4%10.2%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals54.6%
3+ goals27.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.5%
Away41.5%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMainzForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamUnion BerlinForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMainz vs Union BerlinCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionBundesligaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsBundesliga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.