Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 14:30
12.7434.1%
X3.5726.2%
22.3539.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WDDDWLLDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Freiburg
LWLDLLLWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
2.30
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.00
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.30goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.00
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.70
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
24.10
Match total
22.70

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches204
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%27.0%-7.1 pp
Draw26.2%32.8%+6.7 pp
Away39.7%40.2%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.221.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
2-210.3%
0-19.3%
2-18.3%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.83
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=204.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%30.8%–55.9% CI
Away FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away55.4%