Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 17:30
14.2821.8%
X4.4820.8%
21.6257.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wolfsburg
WLWDLLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWWDWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
3.30
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
3.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.40
Against
3.50
12.00
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
3.30
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
4.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wolfsburg attack
1.40goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.20Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.30goals per matchWolfsburg conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
2.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.40
Corners against
3.50
12.00
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
21.60
Match total
19.00
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
4.30
On target
8.00
11%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%14.3%-7.5 pp
Draw20.8%21.4%+0.6 pp
Away57.5%64.3%+6.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.585.7%
Over 3.571.4%
BTTS78.6%
Historical average
1.50–3.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-514.3%
2-314.3%
0-27.1%
1-47.1%
3-67.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.14–7.00
Average total11.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.535.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals35.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away70.6%