Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 14:30
12.1343.6%
X3.9623.5%
22.8232.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stuttgart
DWDWWWWLWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Leverkusen
WLWDLWDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.40
Against
3.50
9.80
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

1.80goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.20
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.70goals per match
Stuttgart conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.50
9.80
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
22.20
Match total
19.50

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.20
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%45.5%+1.8 pp
Draw23.5%9.1%-14.4 pp
Away32.9%45.5%+12.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.451.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-227.3%
4-19.1%
0-19.1%
2-09.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.825.27
Average total12.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.8%
Over 9.572.7%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away71.4%