Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 14:30
11.3072.0%
X5.3917.4%
28.8010.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
LWLLDDWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
St Pauli
DDLLLLWLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
6.40
10.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.00goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.70
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.70goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.40
10.50
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
2.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
19.60
Match total
17.80

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
7.30
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.0%72.5%+0.5 pp
Draw17.4%18.1%+0.8 pp
Away10.6%9.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.540.1%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

2.430.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.4%
2-09.9%
3-09.9%
1-07.7%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.923.29
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.9%50.5%–78.4% CI
Draw FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI
Away FT4.9%1.3%–16.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.4%
2+ goals63.4%
3+ goals31.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.5%
Away39.0%