Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 14:30
11.4464.7%
X4.9119.0%
25.7016.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
WWWWWLDLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Werder Bremen
LDLLLLWWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.40
Against
5.50
10.60
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
2.30goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.50Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.00goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.50
10.60
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.70
Match total
20.60
Shots
17.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
7.00
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.7%65.9%+1.2 pp
Draw19.0%25.0%+6.0 pp
Away16.3%9.1%-7.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
2.50–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
2-211.4%
2-011.4%
1-09.1%
3-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.95
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away50.0%