Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 16:30
13.5926.0%
X3.7924.6%
21.8949.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WDLWLDWWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Dortmund
DWDDWWDWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
6.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.50goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.90goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
6.40
Match total
9.00
20%2/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
19.90
Match total
22.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.0%30.1%+4.1 pp
Draw24.6%22.4%-2.2 pp
Away49.4%47.4%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.540.8%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.341.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%
1-27.1%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.395.33
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.2%24.4%–52.1% CI
Draw FT27.9%16.7%–42.7% CI
Away FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.7%
2+ goals48.8%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.5%
Away55.8%