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Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 14:30

St Pauli

vs

Mainz

12.7034.5%
X3.2228.9%
22.5536.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
LWDDWWDLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mainz
LDDLWLDWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
9.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.90goals per match
Mainz conceded1.80
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
9.30
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
17.60
Match total
17.30

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%31.1%-3.4 pp
Draw28.9%30.1%+1.1 pp
Away36.5%38.8%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.12–1.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-111.8%
0-09.3%
1-09.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.99–4.81
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches394
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.9%22.8%–31.5% CI
Draw FT41.1%36.4%–46.0% CI
Away FT32.0%27.6%–36.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away51.0%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamSt PauliForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamMainzForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareSt Pauli vs MainzCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionBundesligaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsBundesliga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.