Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 17:30
12.1044.4%
X3.9823.4%
22.9032.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WLWLWWDDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
RB Leipzig
LDLWDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.70
Against
4.00
10.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.40goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.20
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.50goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.00
10.70
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
17.80
Match total
18.60

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.80
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.4%42.9%-1.6 pp
Draw23.4%14.3%-9.1 pp
Away32.2%42.9%+10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.431.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-214.3%
0-214.3%
3-114.3%
2-114.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.86
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away61.1%