Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 14:30
12.2741.1%
X3.9823.4%
22.6335.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
WWWWWWLDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Stuttgart
DLWWWLDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
2.80
0.80
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
2.30
1.50
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
3.80
10.60
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
4.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
2.30goals per matchStuttgart conceded1.90Matchup
Stuttgart attack
2.80goals per matchHoffenheim conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.80
10.60
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
22.60
Match total
20.10
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
6.40
On target
6.60
14%
Conversion
21%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%42.9%+1.8 pp
Draw23.4%14.3%-9.2 pp
Away35.5%42.9%+7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.57.1%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.14–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-121.4%
1-114.3%
1-214.3%
0-114.3%
2-014.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–4.43
Average total10.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away63.6%