Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 14:30
11.2276.5%
X6.7513.8%
29.619.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WWDWLWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Heidenheim
WLLDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
4.00
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.70
100%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.60
1H goals
0.90
2.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.20
Against
5.30
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
4.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
5.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
4.00goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.70Matchup
Heidenheim attack
1.00goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.20
Corners against
5.30
10.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
15.20
Match total
20.60
Shots
22.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
9.10
On target
3.10
18%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.5%84.2%+7.7 pp
Draw13.8%5.3%-8.6 pp
Away9.7%10.5%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.589.5%
Over 3.573.7%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
3.79–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-021.1%
2-110.5%
6-15.3%
3-05.3%
6-05.3%
Comparable corner averages
7.79–3.37
Average total11.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.552.6%
Over 11.547.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away30.0%