Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 14:30
11.2276.5%
X6.7513.8%
29.619.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWDWLWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Heidenheim
WLLDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

4.00
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.70
100%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.60
1H goals
0.90
2.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.20
Against
5.30
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
4.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
5.40
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

4.00goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.70
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.00goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
2.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.20
Corners against
5.30
10.30
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.10
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

7.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
15.20
Match total
20.60

Shots

22.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
9.10
On target
3.10
18%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.5%84.2%+7.7 pp
Draw13.8%5.3%-8.6 pp
Away9.7%10.5%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.589.5%
Over 3.573.7%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

3.790.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-021.1%
2-110.5%
6-15.3%
3-05.3%
6-05.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.793.37
Average total11.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.552.6%
Over 11.547.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away30.0%