Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 16:30
11.3568.9%
X4.9818.7%
27.5112.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWWWWWLWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Freiburg
LLWLDLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
10.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
3.40
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.40goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.20
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.20goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
10.70
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
19.10
Match total
21.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.10
On target
3.40
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches165
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.9%72.1%+3.2 pp
Draw18.7%18.8%+0.1 pp
Away12.4%9.1%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

2.400.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.5%
2-09.7%
2-19.1%
1-09.1%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.073.34
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=165.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.5%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.9%35.0%–63.0% CI
Draw FT46.7%32.9%–60.9% CI
Away FT4.4%1.2%–14.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals57.8%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.1%
Away37.8%