Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 17:30
13.8824.0%
X3.9623.5%
21.7752.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WWDDDWLLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Hoffenheim
DLDWWLDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.70
Against
5.00
9.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.40goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.00
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.50goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.00
9.80
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.00
Match total
21.80

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.0%20.5%-3.4 pp
Draw23.5%28.8%+5.3 pp
Away52.5%50.7%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.547.9%
BTTS68.5%

Historical average

1.322.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
2-311.0%
2-211.0%
2-19.6%
1-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.165.68
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Draw FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Away FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away58.3%