Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 14:30
14.3321.6%
X4.3721.4%
21.6457.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DLDWWWDDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWWWDWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
3.40
0.90
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
3.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.60
Against
3.40
10.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
3.40
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
4.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded0.90
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.40goals per match
Mainz conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
2.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.40
10.80
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
20.60
Match total
18.30

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
4.40
On target
8.50
10%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.6%17.6%-3.9 pp
Draw21.4%17.6%-3.7 pp
Away57.0%64.7%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.552.9%
BTTS76.5%

Historical average

1.412.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-317.6%
1-111.8%
0-111.8%
2-111.8%
0-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.474.88
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.1%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away75.0%