Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 14:30
12.3539.7%
X3.3228.1%
22.8932.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
LWLDLLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
St Pauli
LDDLLLLWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
2.60
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.60
Against
6.80
8.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
2.60
Goals conceded
1.80
4.10
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.50goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.80
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.80goals per match
Heidenheim conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.80
8.90
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.40
Match total
2.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
19.70
Match total
17.80

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.40
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches905
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%40.9%+1.2 pp
Draw28.1%27.7%-0.3 pp
Away32.3%31.4%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.441.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-09.6%
0-19.4%
2-18.5%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.73
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=905.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches288
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.9%26.8%–37.5% CI
Draw FT38.5%33.1%–44.3% CI
Away FT29.5%24.5%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away49.7%