Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 14:30
13.7225.1%
X3.9023.9%
21.8351.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
DLLWWLDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leverkusen
LWLWDLWDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.00
Against
3.80
10.30
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.50goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.30Matchup
Leverkusen attack
1.50goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.80
10.30
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.80N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
19.10
Match total
19.70
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%25.9%+0.8 pp
Draw23.9%27.6%+3.7 pp
Away51.0%46.6%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS64.7%
Historical average
1.26–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
2-111.2%
1-27.8%
2-27.8%
0-26.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.39–5.64
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away47.4%