Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 14:30
13.7225.1%
X3.9023.9%
21.8351.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DLLWWLDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leverkusen
LWLWDLWDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.00
Against
3.80
10.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.50goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.30
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.50goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.80
10.30
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
19.10
Match total
19.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%25.9%+0.8 pp
Draw23.9%27.6%+3.7 pp
Away51.0%46.6%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.261.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-111.2%
1-27.8%
2-27.8%
0-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.395.64
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away47.4%