Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-24 · 19:30
11.4564.7%
X4.7519.8%
26.0615.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WLWLLDDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Union Berlin
LWDDLLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
9.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.80
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.30goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.90
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

0.90goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
9.50
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
20.60
Match total
22.30

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
7.00
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.7%60.3%-4.5 pp
Draw19.8%23.1%+3.3 pp
Away15.5%16.7%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.542.3%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

2.261.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-09.0%
1-19.0%
2-17.7%
3-07.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.423.63
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Away FT15.6%6.9%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.4%
Away40.6%