Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 18:30
12.3939.1%
X3.4027.5%
22.7933.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
LWDLWLDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mainz
LLDDLWLDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Against
6.20
6.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.40goals per match
Mainz conceded1.80
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.20goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.20
6.70
Match total
8.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
19.40
Match total
17.50

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches422
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%40.5%+1.5 pp
Draw27.5%26.5%-0.9 pp
Away33.5%32.9%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.371.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-011.8%
1-210.7%
2-110.0%
0-16.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.69
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=422.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches125
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%28.9%–45.5% CI
Draw FT34.4%26.6%–43.1% CI
Away FT28.8%21.6%–37.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away51.2%