Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 14:30
11.6556.7%
X4.0523.1%
24.6320.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWDWWWWDLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Heidenheim
LWLLDLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
5.90
8.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
3.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.90goals per match
Heidenheim conceded2.10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

0.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.90
8.50
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.00
Match total
19.90

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.90
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches331
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%60.7%+4.0 pp
Draw23.1%23.6%+0.5 pp
Away20.2%15.7%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.1%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

2.111.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.5%
2-010.9%
1-110.9%
3-18.2%
2-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.14
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=331.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.9%43.3%–67.8% CI
Draw FT33.9%23.1%–46.6% CI
Away FT10.2%4.7%–20.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals52.5%
3+ goals30.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.9%
Away35.6%