Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 14:30
12.5336.9%
X3.8024.6%
22.4238.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WWWWWWWLDL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Dortmund
WDWDDWWDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
10.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

2.40goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.00
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.90goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
10.90
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
21.90
Match total
23.00

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.40
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%39.4%+2.6 pp
Draw24.6%25.4%+0.8 pp
Away38.6%35.2%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.542.3%
BTTS69.0%

Historical average

1.691.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
0-28.5%
2-17.0%
2-27.0%
2-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.325.23
Average total10.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.550.7%
Over 11.543.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away81.3%