Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 19:30
12.8233.3%
X3.2429.0%
22.4937.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Pauli
LLWDDWWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
FC Koln
LLDLDLLLDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Pauli attack
0.80goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.90Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.90goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
18.70
Match total
18.70
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.80
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches675
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%33.2%-0.1 pp
Draw29.0%24.7%-4.2 pp
Away37.7%42.1%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
1.19–1.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.9%
1-111.4%
1-09.8%
1-28.9%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.96–4.98
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=675.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.3%23.7%–35.6% CI
Draw FT34.2%28.3%–40.7% CI
Away FT36.5%30.4%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away55.0%