Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 19:30
12.8233.3%
X3.2429.0%
22.4937.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
LLWDDWWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
FC Koln
LLDLDLLLDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.80goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.90
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.90goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
18.70
Match total
18.70

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.80
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches675
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%33.2%-0.1 pp
Draw29.0%24.7%-4.2 pp
Away37.7%42.1%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.191.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.9%
1-111.4%
1-09.8%
1-28.9%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.98
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=675.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.3%23.7%–35.6% CI
Draw FT34.2%28.3%–40.7% CI
Away FT36.5%30.4%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away55.0%