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Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 18:30

Mainz

vs

Freiburg

12.2341.9%
X3.1429.8%
23.3028.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DDLDWWWDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Freiburg
DLLWLDLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.20
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.40goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.20
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.30
Match total
22.40

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches206
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%37.9%-4.0 pp
Draw29.8%33.5%+3.7 pp
Away28.3%28.6%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.41–1.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-011.2%
0-09.2%
2-28.7%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.29–4.29
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=206.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Draw FT44.1%32.2%–56.7% CI
Away FT28.8%18.8%–41.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away44.1%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMainzForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamFreiburgForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMainz vs FreiburgCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionBundesligaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsBundesliga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.