Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 14:30
12.1842.7%
X3.4527.0%
23.0830.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
LDLLWWLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Werder Bremen
DLLDLLLLWW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
4.80
9.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.50goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.40
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

0.90goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.80
9.60
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

6.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
17.90
Match total
20.70

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches644
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%40.8%-1.9 pp
Draw27.0%28.6%+1.6 pp
Away30.3%30.6%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.501.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-010.9%
1-28.2%
0-18.1%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.73
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=643.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches187
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%31.3%–45.1% CI
Draw FT36.9%30.3%–44.0% CI
Away FT25.1%19.5%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals19.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.4%
Away44.9%