Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:30
17.8311.9%
X5.0618.4%
21.3469.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
LLLWDDWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bayern Munich
DWWWWDWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
3.10
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
2.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.50
Against
3.70
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
3.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
4.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.80goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.10goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
2.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.70
9.80
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
19.80
Match total
18.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
3.70
On target
8.10
8%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.9%15.6%+3.7 pp
Draw18.4%13.8%-4.7 pp
Away69.6%70.6%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

0.942.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.8%
1-211.9%
0-19.2%
0-37.3%
1-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.497.08
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI
Away FT68.0%48.4%–82.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away76.0%