Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 14:30
11.4962.8%
X4.5820.4%
25.5716.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWLWLLDDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
M'gladbach
WWLLDDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
2.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.90
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.40goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.00
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.10goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
20.30
Match total
23.30

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.20
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%60.5%-2.3 pp
Draw20.4%20.9%+0.5 pp
Away16.8%18.6%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

2.351.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.6%
2-29.3%
1-19.3%
4-17.0%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.583.98
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.1%
Over 9.565.1%
Over 10.551.2%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away60.0%