Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 14:30
11.4962.8%
X4.5820.4%
25.5716.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
RB Leipzig
WWLWLLDDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
M'gladbach
WWLLDDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.50
2.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.40goals per matchM'gladbach conceded2.00Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.10goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
20.30
Match total
23.30
Shots
17.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.20
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%60.5%-2.3 pp
Draw20.4%20.9%+0.5 pp
Away16.8%18.6%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.8%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
2.35–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.6%
2-29.3%
1-19.3%
4-17.0%
2-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.58–3.98
Average total10.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.579.1%
Over 9.565.1%
Over 10.551.2%
Over 11.537.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away60.0%