Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 14:30
12.9331.9%
X3.5026.7%
22.2541.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
DLWLDLLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Union Berlin
WLWDDLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
2.60
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.90
Against
5.00
9.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
2.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.30goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.60
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

0.90goals per match
Heidenheim conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.00
9.10
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.80
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
19.50
Match total
22.10

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.50
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches531
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%30.9%-1.0 pp
Draw26.7%28.1%+1.4 pp
Away41.5%41.1%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.211.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-29.6%
1-08.3%
0-18.3%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.755.22
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=531.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%21.3%–34.9% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.7%–47.5% CI
Away FT32.5%25.8%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away50.9%