Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 14:30
11.9548.0%
X3.8024.6%
23.4227.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
DWWWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Leverkusen
WLWLWDLWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.00
2.40
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.30
Against
4.20
10.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.90
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.70goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.40
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.70goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.20
10.30
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.80
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
20.20
Match total
20.50

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
5.60
On target
3.60
19%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%46.9%-1.1 pp
Draw24.6%27.3%+2.6 pp
Away27.4%25.9%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.831.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-29.8%
1-08.4%
2-17.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.54
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.3%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.551.0%
Over 11.540.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.5%32.5%–64.8% CI
Draw FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Away FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals48.5%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.7%
Away39.4%