Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 19:30
13.3228.3%
X3.7525.0%
22.0146.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Augsburg
LWWDDDWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Hoffenheim
WDLDWWLDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.70
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Augsburg attack
1.30goals per matchHoffenheim conceded2.00Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.60goals per matchAugsburg conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.30
Match total
22.10
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.00
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%24.4%-3.8 pp
Draw25.0%31.1%+6.1 pp
Away46.7%44.4%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS71.1%
Historical average
1.29–1.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
1-212.2%
2-28.9%
1-07.8%
1-37.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–4.87
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals50.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away78.6%