Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 14:30
12.0844.8%
X3.1329.8%
23.6725.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
WDDLWDLDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
St Pauli
LLDDLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.00
Against
7.00
8.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.40goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.90
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.80goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.00
8.50
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.10
Match total
2.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
22.60
Match total
18.00

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches371
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%45.0%+0.2 pp
Draw29.8%31.0%+1.2 pp
Away25.4%24.0%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.517.8%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.300.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-014.0%
0-011.3%
2-010.0%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.243.88
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=371.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.522.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%29.6%–44.9% CI
Draw FT40.3%32.7%–48.3% CI
Away FT22.8%16.8%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals8.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away38.3%