Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 17:30
12.2841.0%
X3.8624.2%
22.6834.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stuttgart
WWLDWDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Dortmund
LWDWDDWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.40
9.20
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

1.80goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
Stuttgart conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.40
9.20
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.10
Match total
23.70

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.90
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%37.5%-3.5 pp
Draw24.2%25.0%+0.8 pp
Away34.8%37.5%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS65.6%

Historical average

1.721.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-29.4%
2-19.4%
0-29.4%
1-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.914.25
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away58.3%